Near End of Season Phillies Prospect Rankings

For the last few years I have maintained a private monthly prospect ranking because it gives a good continuation and snap in time. It helps prevent snap judgements and makes the ebbs and flows of the season come into focus. For the most part there isn’t a point in publishing them because they are an everchanging snapshot, and I don’t want to write a bunch of writeups. However, with some graduations and interesting performances, I thought it might be interesting to pull back the curtain a little bit to show where the process is. There is still 1.5 to 3.5 weeks of the season left (depending on AAA or not) and there is the AFL. The offseason list will include a lot more research and conversations, so the rankings are going to change, and possibly change dramatically as more information is parsed. But here is where not even the first draft of the top 50 sits (and it will almost certainly be different in 24 hours), with some commentary afterwards.

1. Mick Abel, RHP, Age: 20
2. Andrew Painter, RHP, Age: 18
3. Bryson Stott, SS, Age: 23
4. Johan Rojas, OF, Age: 21
5. Luis Garcia, SS, Age: 20
6. Logan O’Hoppe, C, Age: 21
7. Ethan Wilson, OF, Age: 21
8. Griff McGarry, RHP, Age: 22
9. Hans Crouse, RHP, Age: 22
10. Francisco Morales, RHP, Age: 21
11. Erik Miller, LHP, Age: 23
12. Yhoswar Garcia, OF, Age: 19
13. Mickey Moniak, OF, Age: 23
14. Jhailyn Ortiz, OF, Age: 22
15. Simon Muzziotti, OF, Age: 22
16. Matt Vierling, OF, Age: 24
17. Micah Ottenbreit, RHP, Age: 18
18. Rickardo Perez, C, Age: 17
19. Casey Martin, SS, Age: 22
20. Jamari Baylor, SS, Age: 21
21. Christian McGowan, RHP, Age: 21
22. Jordan Viars, OF, Age: 20
23. Dominic Pipkin, RHP, Age: 21
24. Kendall Simmons, SS, Age: 21
25. Cristopher Sanchez, LHP, Age: 24
26. Cristian Hernandez, RHP, Age: 20
27. Gunner Mayer, RHP, Age: 21
28. Alexeis Azuaje, 2B, Age: 19
29. Andrick Nava, C, Age: 19
30. Tyler Phillips, RHP, Age: 23
31. Eduar Segovia, RHP, Age: 20
32. Yemal Flores, OF, Age: 17
33. Jadiel Sanchez, OF, Age: 20
34. Marcus Lee Sang, OF, Age: 20
35. Starlyn Castillo, RHP, Age: 19
36. Jordi Martinez, LHP, Age: 21
37. Erubiel Armenta, LHP, Age: 21
38. Jose Pena Jr., RHP, Age: 18
39. Logan Cerny, OF, Age: 21
40. Ben Brown, RHP, Age: 22
41. Andrew Baker, RHP, Age: 21
42. Daniel Brito, 2B, Age: 23
43. Ethan Lindow, LHP, Age: 22
44. Gavin Tonkel, OF, Age: 18
45. Kyle Dohy, LHP, Age: 24
46. Adonis Medina, RHP, Age: 24
47. Nicolas Torres, 2B, Age: 21
48. Freylin Minyety, 2B, Age: 21
49. Cornelius Randolph, OF, Age: 24
50. Baron Radcliff, OF, Age: 22
51. Felix Reyes, OF, Age: 20
52. Hao Yu Lee, 2B, Age: 18

Some thoughts

• Rafael Marchan, Nick Maton, and Bailey Falter all graduated on service time, all would be top 15 prospects
• Francisco Morales is probably going to fall some more because he is probably a reliever, but that also was built in to the original ranking and given injuries to Garcia and Miller behind him and the risk of the outfield group, it felt like dropping him below that group was premature, even if he is a reliever long term.
• I am not entirely comfortable with the McGarry ranking, but I talked to some people today and he went from 15 to 8 as I started because the stuff is good, I just am not 100% feeling great yet.
• Rickardo Perez just keeps floating up on the back of having a good DSL season while being a highly regarded prospect.
• I actually moved some relievers into the 31-50 range
• I had to squeeze on Felix Reyes and Hao Yu Lee onto the list because their exit velocity numbers intrigue me. Same with Freylin Minyety who has just scorched the ball.
• The 28-52 range already feels like it is in the wrong order.
• Daniel Brito is on the list and I don’t know if he will play baseball again, but I really hope he does.