Last season, the Phillies transitioned from rebuild to attempting to contend. They emptied much of the top of their farm system to the majors with J.P. Crawford, Scott Kingery, Jorge Alfaro, Seranthony Dominguez, Roman Quinn, and Victor Arano all graduating to join the Phillies’ young group of players already in the majors. This left a farm system virtually devoid of trade acquisitions to prop up the Phillies’ own amatuer acquisitions and talent development. The results have been mixed on both fronts. The Phillies farm system remains almost as deep as it ever has, with the normal pipeline of Latin American teenagers finally being augmented with some depth from drafts. The top of the system has fared less well, with top picks at very worse staying constant and high profile low minors hitters taking steps back. This does not mean the top of the Phillies system is devoid of talent. Sixto Sanchez continues to be one of the best pitching prospects in the minors despite his injury. The Phillies did have two big breakouts in teenager Luis Garcia and 2017 2nd round pick Spencer Howard, who gave some hope that something was going right down on the farm. Despite the negativity surrounding their draft selections, Mickey Moniak and Adam Haseley showed that calling them disappointments might be a little bit premature, and 2018 top pick Alec Bohm still could be the big bat the Phillies have been looking for. While things may not be completely sunny and optimistic, the Phillies farm system is still strong, and there is plenty of hope for future seasons.
Index: 1-10 | 11-20 | 21-30 | 31-40 | 41-50
All ages are for major league opening day.
1. Sixto Sanchez – RHP
DOB: 7/29/1998 (20)
H/W: 6’0″ 185lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 2015 International Free Agent signing by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Clearwater (A+) | 8 | 8 | 4-3 | 46.2 | 2.51 | 7.5 | 0.2 | 5.9% | 23.9% |
Role: #1 Starter
Risk: High – Sanchez has arguably the best raw stuff of any pitcher in the minor leagues. He also has an athletic delivery and plus control. He does not have a long injury history, but the mystery around his summer injury and fall soreness creates a lot of uncertainty about his future health.
Summary: The midseason injury and fall setback clouded what was trending as another positive season for Sanchez. After a slow start, Sanchez was on a roll over his last 4 starts, putting up a 25.2 IP 0.70 ERA 15 H 4 BB 29 K line. He showed the stuff we have come to expect from Sanchez. His electric fastball sat in the high 90s, topping out at 102. Sanchez shows a plus changeup, and his slider has improved to plus as well. Sanchez has plus control, and he shows future plus command of all of his pitches. His combination of pitches is arguably the best in the minors. Sanchez’s health is the biggest question facing his future. His injury over the summer should be fully healed, but it took longer than expected. His velocity had fully returned before he experienced collar bone soreness in Fall Instructs, and that injury sounded mostly precautionary. The Phillies say Sanchez will be at full strength in Spring Training, and if they are right he will be in a position to contribute very soon. Until he shows health over a full season of starts, many will question whether he has the durability to be major league starter.
2019 Outlook: A fully healthy Sanchez should start the year in Reading. If he performs at a top level, he could be major league ready before the end of the summer. The Phillies, however, are likely to baby him and keep his innings limited, making any late season major league time unlikely.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: 2
2. Alec Bohm – 3B
DOB: 8/3/1996 (22)
H/W: 6’5″ 225lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 1st Round pick in the 2018 draft by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | PA | HR | SB | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
GCL East (Rk) | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | .222 | .200 | .222 |
GCL West (Rk) | 7 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 7.4% | 0.0% | .391 | .481 | .522 |
Williamsport (SS) | 29 | 121 | 0 | 1 | 8.3% | 15.7% | .224 | .314 | .290 |
Role: First Division Regular
Risk: High – Bohm probably could not have had a worse pro debut. He did not hit for power or average, and time missed due to injury deprived him of needed at bats. Bohm’s size causes a lot of people to project him to move off of third base, which puts more pressure on his bat. While he has a great track record, his struggles lower confidence in his ability to reach his offensive ceiling.
Summary: Alec Bohm was supposed to have the best combination of hit tool, power, and approach in the 2018 draft. So naturally after being drafted #3 overall by the Phillies, he went out and had a horrendous pro-debut. It wasn’t just the numbers that were bad for Bohm, the scouting reports were poor on his defense and on his bat speed. There are a myriad of potential reasons for the poor year, including a pitch to the knee that caused him to miss a month of games after only two weeks in Williamsport. Part of the reason Bohm went so high in the draft is because he has overcome issues like this in the past and has consistently made adjustments every level and every year.
Team | G | PA | HR | SB | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
Wichita St (Fr) |
51 | 191 | 6 | 0 | 4.7% | 13.1% | .300 | .346 | .489 |
Coastal Plain League | 54 | 203 | 11 | 0 | 9.3% | 13.1% | .330 | .407 | .552 |
Wichita St (So) |
58 | 233 | 11 | 5 | 10.9% | 11.7% | .305 | .385 | .519 |
Cape Cod League | 39 | 154 | 5 | 1 | 7.1% | 12.5% | .351 | .399 | .513 |
Wichita St (Jr) |
57 | 224 | 16 | 9 | 14.7% | 10.5% | .339 | .436 | .625 |
Despite the power cratering in the pros, his walk and strikeout numbers were still pretty good, indicating the underlying talent is still there. Physically, Bohm is huge with more room to fill in. He has plus plus raw power and a good hit tool. He has yet to really put the power into games at its full level, and that will be a challenge for the Phillies hitting coaches. He may end up seeing his strikeouts climb a bit as he drives the ball more, but the payoff could be 30+ home runs a year. His defense has drawn a lot of concerns and questions. He is never going to win a Gold Glove at third base, but he has a strong arm and is fairly athletic. He had mixed results in Williamsport, but the Phillies cleaned him up some in Instructional Leagues to make him a bit better at the speed of pro game vs college. His size does make some evaluators concerned that he will outgrow the position, especially as he gets older and loses a step. If he does have to move off third base, an outfield corner or first base should be well within his skillset. Despite the poor start to pro ball, Bohm still has the upside to be a perennial All-Star third baseman, who hits 30+ home runs, draws a ton of walks, and anchors a lineup. He is going to have to make a lot of adjustments and improvements coming into the spring, but that has been his track record.
2019 Outlook: The Phillies have pushed most of their college bats to Clearwater to start their first full season, and unless Bohm bombs in Spring Training, he should be a Thresher on Opening Day. If Bohm can get to where he was at Wichita State, he should end the year in AA or AAA.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: N/A
3. Adonis Medina – RHP
DOB: 12/18/1996 (22)
H/W: 6’1″ 185lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 2014 International Free Agent signing by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Clearwater (A+) | 22 | 21 | 10-4 | 111.1 | 4.12 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 7.6% | 26.1% |
Role: #2/#3 Starter
Risk: High – Medina is going to open the year in AA, shows 3 plus pitches, and has good control, all of which should combine to make him a fairly safe mid rotation starter at minimum. However, his start to start consistency was lacking in the FSL, and he showed dominant starts followed by absolute duds. If he can’t find consistency, then he is going to end up being pushed to the bullpen.
Summary: Medina broke out onto the scene in 2015 when he arrived in the GCL throwing in the low 90s with control. Medina is now a bit more filled out and sitting 91-96, touching up to 97, with heavy sink. He has developed a plus changeup with good fade and sink. The biggest development in the past two seasons has been him scrapping his curveball in favor of a slider that has become a plus pitch and bat misser for him. In the Florida State League, Medina flashed dominance, with two different starts with 0 walks and 12 strikeouts. Medina has good control, but has a tendency to leave very hittable pitches in the strike zone. Medina is a bit on the smaller side, but he is athletic with a clean delivery and has shown the ability to shoulder a full season workload. Much of what Medina needs to improve is his polish and consistency, allowing his stuff to actually play at its ability. With 3 plus pitches and strong ground ball rates, Medina profiles as a mid rotation starter at minimum. If he can improve his command enough, he has the chance to be a solid #2 starter. He is on the 40 man roster, but he is young enough that the Phillies don’t need to rush him and can give him time to work through his issues in Reading.
2019 Outlook: Medina is going to open the year in Reading, and AA should be a tough test for him. When he is on he, should be able handle any hitter, but more experienced hitters are going to force him to clean up his mistakes or get pummeled. Despite being on the 40 man roster, he shouldn’t see the major leagues in 2019 except as a possible September bullpen weapon if the Phillies are still in the mix.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: 5
4. Luis Garcia – SS
DOB: 10/1/2000 (18)
H/W: 5’11” 170lbs
B/T: S/R
Acquired: 2017 International Free Agent Signing by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | PA | HR | SB | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
GCL West (Rk) | 43 | 187 | 1 | 12 | 8.0% | 11.2% | .369 | .433 | .488 |
Role: 1st Division Regular
Risk: High – Garcia is surprisingly safe for an 18 year old. He still needs to mature physically in order to have a major league impact, but his defense and contact ability give him a high floor.
Summary: The Phillies gave one of the largest bonuses in the 2017 July 2 class to Luis Garcia because of his glove work. Outside of his first week and some yips throwing the ball, he delivered in the field. He is a smooth fielder with great actions and a strong arm. His defense is advanced for his age, and he easily projects as a plus shortstop at his peak. Scouts were more divided on his bat, with some thinking he would hit for a fine empty average, and others thought he would hit just enough to stick in an everyday role at the bottom of the lineup. Garcia went out and led the GCL in hitting at age 17. He also walked at a high rate and kept his strikeouts to a minimum. He was able to post a .418 BABIP thanks to a high line drive rate. Right now he has no power, and his ability to impact the ball is greatly reduced by his lack of strength. While he never projects to hit for a ton of power, he is going to fill out enough to hold his own. Garcia is also a plus runner who needs to work on his base stealing success. All of these pieces together make Garcia one of the most advanced teenagers the Phillies have ever had in their system and give him one of the highest upsides of any player in the org. His advanced feel for the game is likely going to lead the Phillies into promoting him beyond where his physicality is, so his numbers may struggle for a little bit. However, he should reach the majors at a young age, and a strong 2019 season could put him in the conversation as one of the best prospects in the minor leagues.
2019 Outlook: The early indication is that the Phillies are going to aggressively push Garcia to Lakewood to open the year. There is a good chance that his numbers suffer, as he will be one of the youngest players in the South Atlantic League.
ETA: 2021
Previous Rank: 21
5. Spencer Howard – RHP
DOB: 7/28/1996 (22)
H/W: 6’3″ 205lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 2nd Round pick in the 2017 Draft by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Lakewood (A-) | 23 | 23 | 9-8 | 112.0 | 3.78 | 8.1 | 0.5 | 8.6% | 31.6% |
Role: #2/#3 Starter
Risk: High – Down the stretch for Lakewood, Howard showed near elite level stuff and results. The main concern is that we have just two months of great results from Howard, and it all came against low-A hitters.
Summary: When the Phillies took Howard in the second round of the draft, he looked like a reach. The Phillies really liked him, and Johnny Almaraz said he had the best right handed fastball in the draft. This was met with laughter, especially when Howard was sitting 91 to 93, touching 95, in his pro debut. Howard was throwing a bit harder to open 2018, sitting 92 to 96. He showed 4 pitches, none of them real standouts. Howard’s command came and went over most of the season. However, down the stretch, Howard was electric. Over his last 11 games (including playoffs) he put up a 62.1 IP 40 H 1.59 ERA 16 BB 82 K line. It all was topped with a no hitter in the first round of the SAL playoffs. It wasn’t just the results that were there for Howard, his fastball was consistently sitting in the mid 90s, and in the no hitter he was reportedly up to 100. His secondary pitches improved as well, with both his slider and changeup consistently showing plus potential. In the context of this breakout it is important to acknowledge how few innings Howard had thrown as an amateur, only moving to the rotation during his junior year. The inexperience is partially why Howard spent the whole season in the South Atlantic League. All of this is why there is skepticism over Howard’s end of year — he doesn’t have the track record of stuff, and he doesn’t have results against good hitters. Howard’s raw stuff matches up very well with Adonis Medina’s, and he projects to have 3 pitches that should be at least plus. If he repeats his end of season, Howard should end the year in the upper minors and at the top of prospect lists.
2019 Outlook: Howard should open the year in Clearwater, but given where his stuff was to end the season and the Phillies’ history of aggressively push college arms, he could end up in AA quickly. It would take an incredible season for Howard to reach the majors this year, but pitchers with his quality of stuff tend to move quickly.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: 20
6. Adam Haseley – OF
DOB: 4/12/1996 (22)
H/W: 6’1″ 195lbs
B/T: L/L
Acquired: 1st Round pick in the 2017 Draft by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | PA | HR | SB | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
Clearwater (A+) | 79 | 354 | 5 | 7 | 5.4% | 15.3% | .300 | .343 | .415 |
Reading (AA) | 39 | 159 | 6 | 0 | 10.1% | 11.9% | .316 | .403 | .478 |
Role: Solid Regular
Risk: Medium – Haseley does a lot of things really well on a baseball field, but the lack of truly stand out things opens up a lot of questions about his future role.
Summary: When the Phillies took Haseley in the first round of the 2017 draft he was a departure from almost everything they had done in 21st century, as he was their first 1st round college position player in over a decade. Haseley was a college performer with a good hit tool and questions about his position and power, questions that actually had people drawing comparisons to fellow first round picks Mickey Moniak and Cornelius Randolph. During the 2018 season, Haseley had a good year, but not one that silenced critics. At the plate, he showed a very good feel for contact, and after a rough first month (2 walks to 16 strikeouts), he showed an excellent eye and plan at the plate. He is still susceptible to offspeed pitches and same side arms, like most young players, but it was nothing out of the ordinary for a prospect’s first full season. Haseley tinkered with his swing all year with the goal of unlocking more power. He was able to turn those changes into home runs with Reading, but the park may have also helped a little. His swing naturally sprays the ball to all fields, and he has grown into his strength already, so any power growth will come from turning his current contact (which is already fairly hard) into contact a bit more in the air and possibly a bit more to the pull side. Even with improvements in this area, he is unlikely to hit more than 20 home runs a year. In the field, Haseley is playable in center field thanks to above average speed, but it is not an ideal position for him. That means he is likely to be interchangeable in the corners at the major league level, where he should be an above average to plus fielder. His arm is not as strong as one might hope given he pitched in college, but it is at least average. Long term, Haseley could hit with a decently high average and a good on base percentage, and he could produce a large pile of doubles and 15-20 home runs a year. That would be a very good player in center field, and pretty good one in an outfield corner. The problem with Haseley is if he comes short of those offensive outputs and is stuck in a corner outfield position, he becomes much more normal and possibly not an everyday starter.
2019 Outlook: Depending on minor league signings and his spring, Haseley will open the year in AA or AAA, but should be in Lehigh Valley fairly quickly. The Phillies aren’t going to force him to the majors, but if there are injuries or ineffective players in front of him, he could end up in the majors in short order.
ETA: 2019
Previous Rank: 8
7. JoJo Romero – LHP
DOB: 9/9/1996 (22)
H/W: 6’0″ 190lbs
B/T: L/L
Acquired: 4th Round pick in the 2016 Draft by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Reading (AA) | 18 | 18 | 7-6 | 106.2 | 3.80 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 9.1% | 22.1% |
Role: #3/#4 Starter
Risk: Medium – Romero only has 1-2 months of showing mid-rotation stuff. When on, he shows a fastball up to the mid 90s that he can manipulate shape and velocity on, backed by a plus changeup and useable slider and curveball. While his injury was not arm related, it did cut short his season enough to leave questions about whether the changes he made are permanent or a flash in the pan.
Summary: Romero rocketed up through the minors in 2017, and the Phillies aggressively pushed him to AA to open 2018. Romero struggled early in the year, nibbling and trying to generate weak contact. Advanced hitters didn’t chase his pitches, causing his walk and home run rates to rise. Romero’s stuff didn’t take as big of a step forward as his approach did, during his last 9 starts of his season. He attacked hitters more and used the top of his velocity range more than his two seamer, which matches a major league trend. The difference in the stats between the two time periods is stark.
First 9 Starts: 48.2 IP 5.55 ERA 53 H 10 HR 21 BB 43 K
Last 9 Starts: 58.0 IP 2.33 ERA 44 H 3 HR 20 BB 57 K
Romero’s best pitch is a plus changeup with good deception and fade. His fastball ranges from 88 to 96, with the ability to cut and sink it in the lower range. He also throws a distinct slider and curveball, both of which show average potential. Romero’s size will always have some thinking he will end up in the bullpen. It is a role he could fill based on the Phillies needs, but he has a starter’s arsenal. In the rotation, Romero isn’t overpowering with velocity or a breaking ball, but he keeps hitters off balance, and his stuff is better than your typical command and control lefty. If he can maintain the top range of his velocity while commanding all of his pitches, Romero might be a really solid mid rotation starter, with a chance at slightly higher if he can improve one of his two breaking balls.
2019 Outlook: The Phillies have too many upper minors starting pitchers and too many low minors starters reaching Reading this year. Romero is on the line between AA and AAA, and could start in Reading with a quick move up to Lehigh Valley when a spot opens. He could reach the majors this year if the Phillies need a left handed bullpen arm down the stretch, but he is more likely to be a candidate to compete for a spot in the 2020 rotation.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: 12
8. Enyel De Los Santos – RHP
DOB: 12/25/1995 (23)
H/W: 6’3″ 170lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 2014 International Free Agent signing by the Mariners. Traded to the Padres along with Nelson Ward for Joaquin Benoit on November 15. 2015. Traded to the Phillies for Freddy Galvis on December 15, 2017.
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Lehigh Valley (AAA) | 22 | 22 | 10-5 | 126.2 | 2.63 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 8.3% | 21.1% |
Philadelphia (MLB) | 7 | 2 | 1-0 | 19.0 | 4.74 | 9 | 0.9 | 9.9% | 18.5% |
Role: #3/#4 Starter or Late Inning Reliever
Risk: Medium – De Los Santos has already pitched in the majors, but he still doesn’t have the complete arsenal needed to be a major league starter. Unless one of his breaking balls improves to at least average, he is likely a reliever.
Summary: Not a ton has changed about De Los Santos in the 13 months since the Phillies acquired him from San Diego for Freddy Galvis. Some of that is good — he was very good in AAA and made the major leagues for a few appearances. His spot starts didn’t go well, but he flashed some real upside out of the bullpen in a couple of September appearances. That also points to the negatives, as De Los Santos has yet to really show feel for a good breaking ball. His slider and curveball both show average, but neither has been a bat missing pitch. In the majors, he went to his slider as a reliever and his curveball as a starter, and it remains to be seen if he will continue to use both situationally, or if he will eventually scrap one of them. De Los Santos still has a plus fastball, sitting anywhere from 91 to 98, averaging more in the 94 range as a starter and up more in the high 95, low 96 range as a reliever. He backs that fastball up with a good changeup. If he can get one of his breaking balls to average and use it enough to keep hitters off balance, he could be a low end mid rotation starter or very good backend starter. Even if he cannot improve the breaking balls, he may be able to mix his pitches enough to be a back end starting pitcher. If he ends up in that second group, he might be better served in a bullpen role where his fastball might sit in the high 90s. He may not have high end closer upside, but he should be a high leverage multi inning reliever. He could do all of this for the Phillies as soon as opening day, but for now he looks to be the #6 starting pitcher on the depth chart and will get a chance to try and clean up his issues as a starting pitcher.
2019 Outlook: De Los Santos is on the outside looking in for both the rotation and the bullpen, so he will return to Lehigh Valley to polish his secondary offerings. His opportunity in the major leagues is likely to come because of injury or ineffectiveness by one of the Phillies current major leaguers.
ETA: 2018
Previous Rank: 15
9. Francisco Morales – RHP
DOB: 10/27/1999 (19)
H/W: 6’4″ 185lbs
B/T: R/R
Acquired: 2016 International Free Agent Signing by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | GS | W-L | IP | ERA | H/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% |
Williamsport (SS) | 13 | 13 | 4-5 | 56.1 | 5.27 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 12.8% | 26.4% |
Role: #2/#3 Starter
Risk: Extreme – While the stuff is nasty and the upside is incredible, Morales walked over 5 batters per 9 innings, and his delivery can be a mess. On the plus side, his slider is a major league caliber pitch that he has already shown is capable of missing bats when needed.
Summary: It is easy to see why Morales was one of the top amateur pitchers in the 2016 signing class. He is big, athletic, and projectable. It is all the more enticing when combined with his current stuff at age 19. In Williamsport, Morales’ fastball would sit 91-96, touching up to 97 (though his velocity would sometimes fade over the course of his starts). His slider is his best pitch. When he gets on top of it, it is plus plus with sharp two plane break. He shows feel for a changeup, but it trails the fastball and slider. Additionally, Morales uses his long arms to get good extension on all of his pitches. The big problem for Morales has been his delivery, which has a tendency to get out of sync. Morales did not have a single start where he did not walk a batter, and he walked 3 or more batters 6 times in 13 games, while at the same time not making it more than 4 innings in any of them. When his delivery is working, his slider tends to work, and that is what showed up in an 11 strike out in 6 inning game on August 21. Morales has already started to fill out some, but he still has room to add muscle. It is not unreasonable that he could sit more in the 93-97 range, touching higher than that. His control will determine if he has a major league role or not, and his changeup will determine what type of role that is, but his could be enormous.
2019 Outlook: Morales will open the year in Lakewood, where he should be lined up for a full season of starts. Given his delivery problems, it could be rough at times, and he could have starts where he doesn’t get deep into games.
ETA: 2022
Previous Rank: 16
10. Mickey Moniak – OF
DOB: 5/13/1998 (20)
H/W: 6’2″ 185lbs
B/T: L/R
Acquired: 1st Round pick in the 2016 Draft by the Phillies
2018 Stats:
Team (LVL) | G | PA | HR | SB | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
Clearwater (A+) | 114 | 465 | 5 | 6 | 4.7% | 21.5% | .270 | .304 | .383 |
Role: Solid Regular
Risk: High – Before July, Moniak was coming off nearly two straight years of disappointing offense, so there is plenty of skepticism about his ability to keep his hot streak going. Additionally, some of the other attributes of his game, that once provided some safety to his future outcome, like his defense and speed, have regressed from plus to more towards average.
Summary: From the minute he was drafted, there was concern from many in and around baseball that Moniak was not a first overall talent. At the time of the draft, he was receiving plus grades on his defense and plus plus grades on his hit tool. He was supposed to be as safe a prospect as a high school outfielder could be. If his 2016 season raised doubts, his 2017 season brought panic, and the start of his 2018 season was seen as an outright disaster. On July 1 he struck out 3 times in 3 trips to the plate. His season line was .244/.260/.303, and he had 5 walks to 67 strikeouts in 62 games. There were many speculated reasons for his struggles including, but not limited to, a mis-scouted batting eye, pressure at being the #1 overall pick, overzealous promotions from the Phillies, and a body still undergoing some large physical changes. From that day forward, he hit .302/.351/.477 and walked 17 times to only 33 strikeouts in 52 games. If you break apart his season by month the change is startling.
Month | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG |
April | 2.1% | 23.9% | .213 | .228 | .258 |
May | 2.0% | 25.5% | .277 | .296 | .340 |
June | 2.0% | 34.0% | .250 | .265 | .333 |
July | 9.1% | 20.9% | .277 | .336 | .489 |
August | 6.4% | 10.9% | .311 | .355 | .456 |
It wasn’t just a magical change out of nowhere. He apparently reset with the help of some childhood friends. He made some minor swing improvements as well and was able to drive the ball with more authority during the end of the year. All of these changes should be sustainable. He has good coordination, and even when struggling, he would get the bat on the ball. Moniak has also gotten bigger since being drafted, not a surprise given that he has yet to turn 21 years old. The added muscle has added power, but it has also lost him a step, and he is generally thought of more as a decent center fielder and not a potentially elite one. Even with the power increase, Moniak still doesn’t have above average power, and his hit tool is good, but nowhere near the plus plus thrown around at draft time. There is still plenty of room for Moniak to be a fine major league center fielder, but he no longer has quite as high a ceiling, and safety of his floor has definitely dropped out a bit. If he can prove that his last two months are the new normal and not a fluke, he will shed the bust label very quickly.
2019 Outlook: Moniak’s hot end of the season almost certainly earned him an opening assignment to Reading. The park will help his numbers, but he is going to see more plus offspeed pitches than he ever has before. Maybe playoff roster machinations lead to a AAA promotion, but he should spend the full year in AA.
ETA: 2020
Previous Rank: 10
Picture of Luis Garcia by Baseball Betsy. Alec Bohm college stats from Baseball Cube. All other stats from milb.com, Fangraphs, and Baseball Reference.
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A million thanks, Matt. Your content provides a great service, especially for us Phillies fans who are far away.