We are still five months out from the Rule 5 draft, but it is never too early to look ahead to see who may need to get pushed and evaluated just a bit more before we get to the fall of this year.
First Time Eligible:
Second Time Eligible:
Art Charles, Edubray Ramos, Brodie Greene, Carlos Alonso, Devin Lohman, Logan Moore, Brock Stassi, Casey Serna, Harold Martinez, Brian Pointer, Colton Murray, Ethan Stewart, Lino Martinez, Luis Morales, Miguel Nunez, Ryan O’Sullivan, Stephen Shackleford, Gabriel Lino
Roman Quinn, Edubray Ramos, Gabriel Lino
A couple of months ago I would have argued that Yoel Mecias was a lock as well, but his performance has really dropped off as his velocity and healthy have just evaporated. Roman Quinn is a no brainer. I know the Phillies are high on Edubray Ramos, and they should be, mid 90s fastball, wipeout curveball. The only question with him is why he isn’t in Reading yet. Gabriel Lino is likely to get a 40 man spot by the end of the year as at very least the
Yacksel Rios, Miguel Nunez, Brian Pointer, Colton Murray, Colin Kleven, Tyler Knigge, Jesen Therrien, Cameron Perkins
Perkins continues to be very interesting but not a lock. Power has been lacking from his game for years, he added the power in for a month, but the hit wasn’t there with it and then he got hurt. A team may take him because they want a RH bench bat right now, but there is not amazing upside to make a team have patience with him over a long season. Rios, Therrien, and Nunez have plus stuff out of the bullpen (though Rios is starting right now), but neither has the stuff to be an automatic selection by another club because they lack huge impact. Pointer is probably a 4th outfielder because he can’t really play center field at the major league level, but he lacks the big exciting tools that most teams desire, that being said, if he continues his current pace he will get his shot at the majors. Colin Kleven has seen his velocity jump this year, but his secondary stuff hasn’t advanced to the point where he is more than a right handed reliever. That being said he hasn’t gotten his shot in the Phillies org, so there is a chance he just leaves and brings his 96 mph fastball with him. Murray is a middle reliever having a worst season than last year, so it is unlikely he will get picked now. We will see how it goes going forward from here, but reports are that Knigge has been 97-99 in recent outings. Though if that continues, Knigge will bounce back through AAA on his way to the majors.
Manaure Martinez, Ethan Stewart, Willians Astudillo
Martinez throws hard and has a slider, but can’t find the strike zone. Stewart has the best slider in the org and has a good fastball, but can’t find the strike zone and now health. Astudillo can really hit and has a hit of power, but really has no defensive position. If a team buys any of the tools they will draft the player. That being said I don’t think that these three are worth a 40 man spot for the Phillies.
Not In Danger:
Ranfi Casimiro, Hoby Milner, Luis Morales, William Cuicas, Jiandido Tromp,
All five are too far away from the majors to be carryable on a roster and don’t offer the upside to carry all year. It is not worth writing them off as prospects, but no one is going to chance them in the Rule 5.