Phillies 2025 Midseason Prospect Ranking and Trade Deadline Preview

The MLB trade deadline is July 31 6pm EDT. The Phillies have a need in their bullpen and in left field or on their bench. By all accounts they are motivated to make a deal, however the market is in flux and that means there could be a lot available, little available, or even only expensive available. The Phillies system is not in a great place to make trades. It is top heavy with a true #1 prospect and then a collection of nominally top 100 overall prospects with their own set of believers and detractors. After that it drops off quickly and that lack of a large middle class tier will make finding a trade match difficult depending on the selling team.

For the purpose of this list, the player must be in the minor leagues with rookie eligibility for 2026 still intact and they must be signed to a contract. That means no Seth Johnson or Otto Kemp who would both slot high into the 4th tier that starts with Gabriel Rincones Jr. at #18. They have utility, but they aren’t starting players. Logan Dawson is not yet signed and not a sure thing to sign, so he isn’t on this list and if he does sign before Monday’s deadline he would slot near fellow HS shortstop Matthew Ferrara. I broke up the list into tiers which fit largely the type of player and contract the Phillies would be acquiring. Within a tier is my preference if I were the Phillies and choosing who to value, but the gaps within a tier are smaller than they are between the tiers. I have some thoughts on how each player fits into the deadline and what I predict the Phillies will do. Just drafted players cannot be traded.

The first tier is just Andrew Painter. The gap from him to the rest of the list hasn’t gotten smaller, but both him and that group have slipped down some. The Phillies are going to clearly value him above that group due to his upside, proximity, and fit into the future of the team.

1. Andrew Painter, RHP

Summary: Painter’s return from Tommy John has not gone smoothly. His command has not been sharp, and that has left him home run prone. He has a newer arsenal with the sweeping slider now more of a slider/cutter, and he is working on finding feel for his changeup. He recently started working in a sinker to give a different fastball look. Painter still has front line starter upside, there just is more polishing needed than it looked like he might need.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: It doesn’t look like Painter is untouchable, but it looks like he is functionally untouchable. If a team made a player 26 or younger available who has a ceiling of Painter, but might be too expensive for their current team the Phillies will certainly have a conversation. I don’t see that player available right now.

Preseason Ranking: 1

After Painter it gets more murky. Miller has not had a great season dragging him sort of back. Crawford sort of is what he is, which also isn’t what you would want him to be. Abel has made huge strides, but has some current limitations. Escobar and Tait have talent, but they are not complete players, which makes new draft pick Wood a perfect fit into this group of misfits. The Phillies valuation order is likely different here based on positional depth and need, and who they prioritize moving is not going to match this order, I just would like to see it match this value. If the Phillies are going to get an October contributor with years of control, at least one, if not multiple members of this group will be in that deal. They also could theoretically headline a high end rental, I don’t know if this year has a true high end rental to target though.

2. Aidan Miller, SS

Summary: Aidan Miller’s surface numbers are poor, with power and average down, along with a large uptick in strikeouts. He plays in a better home park for power, but he is not showing an uptick in his home metrics. The type of contact Miller has made has not changed when it comes to balls in the air vs those on the ground, and his overall contact rates are in line with last year. The biggest difference is his swing rate, which is at an extremely low 38.7%. He is putting himself behind in counts. The root cause of the passivity is not known, and if it is a pitch recognition problem, that could be a large issue. Miller has plus raw power, and he should be attacking pitches in his hitting zone more and not hitting from a disadvantageous position. On the plus side, Miller’s defense continues to slowly improve and if he does have to move off short it will be because of Turner and not his own glove. He has also become a prolific base stealer. Right now it is not time to fully panic, but it is time to get nervous if he doesn’t pull out of this downturn.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Miller is not unavailable, but unless the Phillies are out on his long term future he is probably only available for a good hitter with years of control. Given Turner’s improvements at shortstop, Miller’s improvements at the position are less needed for the immediate future. His struggles also make his impact further into the future which makes him more available.

Preseason Ranking: 2

3.  Eduardo Tait, C

Summary: Still just 18 years old, Tait moved up to Jersey Shore as one of the Florida State League leaders in power numbers. Tait is doing that while having his highest walk rate of his career and maintaining a strikeout rate under 20%. Tait has had some poor BABIP luck, but he hits a lot of easy fly balls that leads to easy outs which will naturally drive his BABIP lower. Still overly aggressive at the plate, Tait has gotten more patient month over month as the season has progressed. Unfortunately, he has not hit for as much power as he has gotten patient and opposing pitchers have expanded the zone. Tait still has plus plus raw power and can easily get to it on his pull side. On defense, he still needs work, but his strong arm continues to control the running game and he has been good at blocking. If he is going to stay behind the plate, it might be a slow progression especially as the workload inevitably puts some more strain on his offense.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Tait appears to be the top prospect that is being shopped the most in deals. He has the upside to intrigue other teams in a big package, but he is probably the farthest away of any of the Phillies prospects due to his age and position. The Phillies shouldn’t and are unlikely to trade him for a rental, but he might be the player in the center of a closer with control trade.

Preseason Ranking: 5

4. Aroon Escobar, 2B

Summary: Escobar hasn’t quite been as good as he was in his 24 games in 2024, but he now has played more games this season than the last two combined, and only led the FSL in home runs when he left it. He has plus raw power, good contact abilities, and a good approach at the plate. He still makes too much negative contact and chases more than you would like, which keeps him from being an elite prospect. He also is an ok second baseman, and that probably is his long term primary position. There was some real thought he could be a special hitter for a period this spring, but his ceiling is probably first division, offensive oriented second baseman.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Escobar has a chance to get to the Phillies quicker than Tait, but may not have the pure prospect value of Tait. That likely combines to make him a prospect who is difficult to agree on the value of. I don’t think the Phillies are holding Escobar sacred, but I have doubts about whether they get the value in a deal with him in it.

Preseason Ranking: 11

5. Gage Wood, RHP

Summary: Wood has some of the best raw stuff of any starting pitcher in the draft, but a shoulder injury meant he barely pitched and when he did it took some time to get back to his best. He has a mid to upper 90s fastball with elite characteristics, a power curveball, a sharper slider, and a changeup. The Phillies have experience in getting the best out of pitch arsenals, especially hard breaking balls. To be a starter, Wood will need to improve the changeup and his command, and most importantly show that he can handle a full workload.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

6. Justin Crawford, OF

Summary: Justin Crawford is a player of contrasts and untapped potential. He hits the ball on the ground too much, he has a swing that can get quite ugly, he can be vulnerable to fastballs, and his routes in the outfield aren’t great. Behind each of those critiques is something that you hope he can grow into. Right now he still puts up good stats despite hitting the ball on the ground, and if he can clean up his swing to get more on time he has the raw power to hit double digit home runs. He is vulnerable to fastballs, but has hit offspeed pitches, and makes a lot of contact even if he chases too much. He is a plus plus runner, and that covers up for his routes and reads, but if he can make improvements there is still a plus or better defender in there. It feels like the Phillies will promote Crawford before he has grown into all of that promise, so if he is going to make the adjustments he will need to do it in the majors.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: There is a real mixed evaluation of Crawford among other teams, and there are going to be some teams that just are not going to be interested in him. The Phillies like Crawford a lot, but have made him available in some trade packages. Given his proximity to the majors and their needs, it feels like it would take Crawford being traded for his replacement who is more able to help the Phillies in 2025+.

Preseason Ranking: 4

7. Mick Abel, RHP

Summary: In the last year, Mick Abel has just become a more complete pitcher. His fastballs will average about 96, but still trail off a bit over his starts. He has gotten better at elevating his four seam, while keeping it competitive, and he has gotten better working his sinker in for weak contact in the zone. He hangs too many curveballs, but he has had more success in the majors with it. As he grows more confident in his slider it will help him keep hitters off balance. He needs to find a feel for his changeup and get better with his command. In his stint in the majors, Abel lost some confidence throwing in the zone, but has bounced back in AAA. He is a major league ready back end starter that has a chance to grow into a mid rotation arm if he continues to improve.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Abel is probably the player the Phillies would like to trade the most, not because they don’t like him, but because they have starting pitching for the next few years. I don’t think he is off the table for a very good rental, but I think they would probably prefer to cash him for a player with control. If the Phillies don’t trade him, they could look to use him in the bullpen down the stretch and then possibly trade him in the offseason.

Preseason Ranking: 10

The existence of Fisher makes this next group look closer to the top group than it is, and he probably exists in some sort of limbo in between. This is the tier you ideally want to be trading from for rentals or as secondary pieces in big deals. Unfortunately, many of the players in this group have large flaws or are near impossible to evaluate. Then it is inflated by the draft picks who aren’t even available to be traded. That said, McFarlane, Mendez, and Cabrera are all in the sweet spot that the Phillies tend to trade players from.

8. Matthew Fisher, RHP

Summary: The Phillies selected Fisher in the 7th round and signed him for way overslot. Fisher is athletic with a projectable frame. He currently is more low 90s, but he should grow into more velocity. His pitches already have good characteristics, with ride and cut on his fastball and high spin on everything. The Phillies will need to work with him to find the right arsenal, but there are the pieces for a future starter’s arsenal with multiple above average to plus pitches. Fisher has plenty of upside, the Phillies will just need to bring it out of him.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

9. Carson DeMartini, 3B

Summary: In college DeMartini was a high swing and miss, pull power hitter. In his debut he greatly put down on his swing and miss, but the power wasn’t there. This season the swing and miss was back, but the power was mostly fine in Jersey Shore after a cold start. He is running a surprisingly low HR/FB ratio with Reading, but has made more contact and continued to get the ball in the air. The thing that has been a nice surprise is that he has shown much more athleticism, stealing 29 bases so far and not embarrassing himself at shortstop defensively. He is going to be a third baseman though, and he should be a pretty solid defender there. The swing and miss is concerning, but less so if he can get into his raw power enough to be a 20 home run hitter. Altogether he probably profiles at his peak as an everyday third baseman.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: The Phillies have signaled they like DeMartini based on how they have pushed him and where they have batted him in their lineups. However, he is definitely a tier of prospect down in the org and they don’t seem to mind moving guys who aren’t going to be impactful players. That probably makes him moveable if he gets a deal done, but probably not someone they are shopping.

Preseason Ranking: 13

10. Hendry Mendez, OF

Summary: Mendez entered the season with one of the ugliest swings you have ever seen and probably the best approach of any hitter in the system at the plate. His swing is still too flat, but he has cut his ground ball rate dramatically and hit more balls in the air. He has above average raw power, and if he can get the ball in the air more he should be a 15-20 home run hitter. If he can maintain the good approach and contact rates with that sort of improvement he should be a plus hitter in left field. He isn’t a great defensive player, but he can stick in the outfield for now. Mendez has come a long way this year, and at just 21 years old there still may be more potential.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Mendez is Rule 5 eligible this offseason and probably needs to be protected while also being unlikely to contribute much to the 2026 Phillies. That is the demographic the Phillies often trade from. Since his swing does need work he isn’t going to appeal to all teams at the deadline, but there is a chance a team thinks he has untapped potential or just does not care about batted ball data enough to value him in a deal.

Preseason Ranking: 19

11. Alex McFarlane, RHP

Summary: McFarlane missed half of the 2023 season and all of the 2024 season to an elbow injury and Tommy John surgery. Before the injury he looked like a reliever, and despite his recent run of success, he still mostly looks like a reliever. He has below average control, but he isn’t as wild as he has been in the past. As a starting pitcher he is mostly 95-98 early and then fading over time, but he has shown that he might be more 98-100 with his fastballs in a short burst. He has moved more towards primarily a sinker, which fits his arm action better.  His slider in the mid 80s is probably his best pitch, as a sharp plus breaker he can throw in the zone or for chases. He will occasionally work in a changeup. The easy path is that he is a most fastball-breaking ball reliever, and in that role he could possibly pitch in high leverage innings. A team might look at this being his first year back from injury and think that a full offseason might get him to being more of a 5 and dive starter.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Much like Mendez, McFarlane is in the place in his career where the Phillies are open to trading players. McFarlane will need a 40 man spot after this season, and given his usage and inconsistency he is unlikely to help the Phillies in 2026. McFarlane’s velocity and potential upside could intrigue a team more than some of the other players in this range.

Preseason Ranking: 17

12. Dante Nori, OF

Summary: It is a year later and Dante Nori is largely who we thought he was. He makes contact without really having a plan for damage. He doesn’t not hit the ball hard (25th percentile 90th EV), but he hits a bunch of line drives and that has led to a good average over the last two months. He has hit a few more home runs of late, none particularly hard, but if he can pull the ball some more maybe he can sneak a few over the wall. Nori is a solid defender and base runner, but is also nearly 21 and in low-A. Right now he is a 4th/5th outfielder and is probably running low on time to show that he is more than that.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: I don’t really know how to value Nori in a trade, and I don’t think he has broad appeal across the league. Would the Phillies trade him, probably, would the Phillies sell low on him, probably not. It just doesn’t feel like the Phillies are ready to give up and it doesn’t feel like teams are knocking down the door to acquire him. 

Preseason Ranking: 8

13. Griffin Burkholder, OF

Summary: After only getting 2 PAs in his first season due to an injury, Burkholder has had multiple hamstring injuries that have kept him off the field. When on the field it has largely just been isolated flashes in between a mountain of whiffs on breaking balls. He has plus raw power and is athletic. However, given the leg injuries it is hard to judge his speed or defense. One sort of has to assume that his ceiling is still there, but the floor is that he doesn’t get out of A-ball.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Another team acquiring Burkholder has to have loved him as an amateur and the Phillies need to be done with him for there to be a deal. Nothing he has done as a pro is going to make another team want to acquire him, and the Phillies would be really selling at the nadir of his value.

Preseason Ranking: 6

14. Moises Chace, RHP

Summary: Chace was the hyped prospect of the offseason, he had elite fastball shape while showing mid to high 90s velocity. His secondary pitches needed work and consistency, but you could see three usable pitches with room for some to end up plus. He showed up to Spring Training with greatly diminished velocity which the Phillies attributed to not throwing in the offseason. He battled admirably with his secondary pitches and improving command, but the velocity never came back and he suffered an injury throwing a pitch in May and will be out recovering from Tommy John surgery until mid 2026. If his velocity and pitch shapes return after the rehab he has the ceiling of a mid rotation starter or high leverage reliever.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: If the Phillies are desperate for his 40 man roster spot and not believers in his stuff they could sell low. Since his velocity was down prior to the injury, his trade value will be about as low as it could possibly be. It is almost certainly in the Phillies best interest to delay making a decision until he starts throwing again.

Preseason Ranking: 3

15. Jean Cabrera, RHP

Summary: Jean Cabrera just is a pitcher. He has two mediocre shaped fastballs that will sit mid 90s, but he can throw them for strikes. His sweeper has improved enough to make him not a complete liability against RHBs, and he has been working in a cutter as a second breaking ball. His changeup is a plus pitch, but it relies on deception off of his fastball. He got off to a rough start in AAA, but has settled in nicely over his last 10 starts with his command returning to his normal levels. Despite his slight frame he holds his velocity well and has been a durable workhorse. He profiles as a back end starting pitcher that could help a team at some point in 2026 if he continues on this path.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: For the second season in a row Cabrera finds himself on the trade shortlist. The Phillies don’t have pitching depth, but they have a full major league rotation for the foreseeable future. Cabrera is in his first year on the 40 man roster so he does not need to be traded, but is in a place of high turnover in the system. Cabrera’s value is slightly up from last year due to his proximity, but is similar to Samuel Aldegheri last year.

Preseason Ranking: 12

16. Cade Obermueller, LHP

Summary: Obermueller returned to Iowa last year and took a large step forward. His velocity ticked up to sitting in the low to mid 90s and will touch 97 or 98 depending on who you read. He threw more strikes, cutting his walk per 9 from 6.2 to 3.5. His delivery allows his fastball to miss bats up in the zone, but his sweeper is his best pitch. He throws a changeup, but he will need to show improvement on it to stay in the rotation. Reading his report, you can see the Phillies making sure this is a clear sinker to pair with the sweeper against lefties and then working in a cutter to give him a breaking ball against righties. He has some real reliever risk, but the Phillies will definitely try him as a starting pitcher.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

17. Cody Bowker, RHP

Summary: Bowker, the Phillies 3rd round pick this summer, gives the system a look it doesn’t have a lot of. He gets an outlier low release height along with a high spin riding fastball that gives a real illusion of rise. He has a cutter, slider, and changeup that he will need to improve on. Due to his low 90s velocity and fastball shape, he was home run prone in college, and likely will be some in the pros. The fastball shape makes him an interesting arm for them to work with.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

There isn’t a huge drop off to this next group, but it is more a gradual slop that continues as the list goes on. The prospects here are just a bit more flawed or far enough away that it is hard to nail down a value. If there are minor fringe moves look for trades from this tier as well as ancillary pieces to larger deals.

18. Gabriel Rincones Jr., OF

Summary: The book on who Rincones is already out there. He is a big power corner outfielder with a lot of swing and miss and mediocre defense. The problem has been that while having some of the best raw power in AAA he has not hit the ball in play in a way that takes advantage of that. He has contact issues and susceptibility to breaking balls, but he does not chase a bunch and that mostly allows him to pick up walks at a high rate against less experienced pitchers. He is also unplayable against left handed pitchers, reducing him to just the strong side of the platoon. If he had hit for power over the last two months he would already be in the majors.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Rincones is another one of the guys who will need a 40 man spot after the season. There may be some space for a platoon bat if they moved on from Castellanos or Marsh in the offseason, but it feels more and more like he probably fits best in another organization. He could be a primary piece in a small depth move or the 3rd or 4th piece in a large move.

Preseason Ranking: 7

19. Devin Saltiban, 2B/OF

Summary: Saltiban spent the first month of the season hitting very poorly in the cold of the northeast and just went it looked like he might be putting things together he suffered a serious injury in his groin area. Rehab appearances are rehab appearances with their ups and downs, but he is back healthy now. He is also now playing center field, though it remains to be seen how much that is a permanent positional switch. He has surprising power to his pull side and solid speed which is a good framework to work with. He still swings and misses too much on breaking balls, and that could ultimately undue his offensive abilities. In many ways it has been a lost year so far for Saltiban.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Saltiban has barely played this year and has not been particularly good when he has been healthy. That doesn’t mean a trade is impossible, but it doesn’t feel like a likely outcome.

Preseason Ranking: 9

20. Alirio Ferrebus, C

Summary: For the second year in a row Ferrebus started at a lower level due to Eduardo Tait and then forced his way to a new level. Ferrebus has a good looking right handed swing that generates above average to plus raw power and plus ability to make contact. When he reached Clearwater he expanded the zone too much, but has started to get back to having a good approach at the plate. Ferrebus has struggled to produce good contact outputs, and needs to get the ball in the air more to take advantage of his power. He is not a great defender behind the plate yet, and there is some risk he will need to move off the position. He has a good arm and is athletic, so it is not a foregone conclusion he won’t be average in time. If he can stick behind the plate, he could be a low end starter or bat first second catcher.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: The Phillies tend to not move from the low minors, but catchers are a risky demographic. If another team wants to buy Ferrebus’s offensive upside in a deal that helps the major league club, the Phillies will almost certainly make him available.

Preseason Ranking: 26

21. Ramon Marquez, RHP

Summary: The Phillies signed Marquez this January and then sent him directly to the FCL after DSL spring training. He has been impressive in his short pro career, with his fastballs sitting low 90s and reaching up to 96. His changeup and slider will both show above average to plus. He throws a good amount of strikes as well. He has good size and some remaining projection, but he is trending more as a back end starter with a little more upside than a potential breakout front end type.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Marquez will draw interest from teams looking to make deals. The Phillies under Dombrowski have rarely traded from their complexes so moving Marquez would be a bit of a surprise. He is on the older side and depending on the Phillies internal valuation of him there could be a scenario where they think he is at peak on his hype cycle.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 International Signing

22. Avery Owusu-Asiedu, OF

Summary: Owusu-Asiedu has some of the highest potential of any hitter in the Phillies organization. He has plus plus raw power, plus plus speed, and plus defense in center field. His hit tool has come a long way, but is still near the bottom of the scale because while making more contact he has not yet gotten consistently to the right contact. Despite being a college draftee in 2023, Owusu-Asiedu just turned 22 in June, so he is both raw and still has some time left to continue to improve. If he can only make moderate improvements he fits as a tantalizing bench outfielder.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: If I were another team and I thought I was good at hitting development I would be targeting Owusu-Asiedu. The Phillies have been treating him like they value him, but not like a top prospect, which is appropriate. The question then becomes what is the sticking point for when he becomes a deal breaker. Are you going to back out of a big deal if he is critical, probably not, but if they are getting just another middle relief arm, maybe that is a place where they walk away.

Preseason Ranking: UR

23. Keaton Anthony, 1B

Summary: For a player that just hits, Anthony is a difficult player to judge. Even after moving up to AAA he is hitting line drives at a near 30% rate which drives a high BABIP rate and large number of doubles. He has only shown average raw power and has not hit the ball in the air enough to have a good home run rate. The problem is that he is a first baseman, and while he is a good defender, there is an offensive bar he must cross. Unlike 2024 he has not walked at a high enough rate to maintain an on base percentage that will be plus outside of his BABIP driven batting average. If he is not going to hit for home run power, Anthony is going to have to be near perfect on hitting doubles, getting hits, and getting on base. Given those are all a bit of outlier expectations, it is probably going to take Anthony performing in the majors before everyone fully believes.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: It is hard to know what the value of a low power first baseman is, but Anthony continues to perform at each level. The Phillies could theoretically make space for Anthony, but given the presence of Harper at first, he makes sense as a trade chip. Anthony fits best as an additional piece in a larger deal or as a primary piece in a smaller deal.

Preseason Ranking: 25

24. Sean Youngerman, RHP

Summary: Youngerman is a classic example of looking at a player being used “incorrectly” by his college team and seeing value to be had. After transferring to Oklahoma State for his junior year, Youngerman was a dynamite reliever but has a starter’s arsenal. He has the low angle riding fastball of other Phillies draft picks, but has a slider and changeup along with a starting pitcher’s build. He is also on the young side for the draft and showed excellent control out of the bullpen. The Phillies will need to do some development, but he is an interesting arm.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

25. Matthew Ferrara, SS

Summary: Ferrara’s selection was a bit of a surprise on the draft show where they didn’t have any information at the time. However, he was on ESPN’s draft list and it took a sizeable bonus to pry him away from a Pitt commitment, which fits Baseball America mentioning he was rising up draft boards late. He is a shortstop with enough arm for third and a chance to stick at short long term. He has physical projection and good bat speed that indicates a good base to build on.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 Draft Pick

26. Brad Pacheco, RHP

Summary: Pacheco has barely pitched the last two years, but the Phillies still brought him stateside. It has been an up and down season with a disaster start, a dominant stretch, and then some inconsistency. Pacheco can reach up to 97, but mostly sits 92-95 with both a 4 seam fastball and sinker. His primary offspeed pitch has been a big breaking low 70s curveball, and while it works against complex level hitters, especially when he is spotting his fastball up in the zone. He will need a second harder breaking ball at some point, but for now most of the development time has gone to his changeup. He will throw some good ones, but it is not consistent in command or shape. Pacheco is still very much a work in progress, but the amount of innings he has pitched this year has been a positive for his development.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: Pacheco is unlikely to be an impediment to a major deal occurring. However, given where he is in his development journey it will be important to sell his value appropriately. Even if there are future bumps in the row, it is very possible his value is higher a year from now.

Preseason Ranking: 20

27. Dylan Campbell, 2B/OF

Summary: Campbell was acquired for international money from the Dodgers. He does not have a major league starter projection, but he can theoretically play all three outfield positions and second base while hitting left handed pitching. He doesn’t have big power, but he can hit the ball out of the park because he gets the ball in the air, and then he can run a bit too. He has a patient approach, and decent contact rates, which leads to a good walk rate and an ok strikeout rate. He is held back some by his heavy flyball approach because he makes a lot of contact that are easy flyouts. He might be one of the more limited and narrow players on the list, but that narrow scope has a role that teams want.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: It doesn’t take a lot to talk yourself into Campbell being some sort of major league bench player. He isn’t going to headline a deal, but it feels like he could be a 3rd or 4th piece in a deal. The only sticking point is if the Phillies want to get a longer look at him.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – traded for after list publishing

28. Griff McGarry, RHP

Summary: This is Griff McGarry’s 5th pro season, and it is telling that his 5.1 walk per 9 rate is currently his career best. All conventional reasoning says that McGarry should be a reliever. He has poor command and has only pitched more than 4 innings once this year. However, he seems to pitch better when in a starter’s role. This year he has been 93 to 97 with a 4-seamer and sinker with the 4-seamer once again having the flat bat missing angle. He might have a pair of plus to plus plus breaking balls in his slider and sweeper which play well off of each other. He also will drop in a true curveball and change occasionally, both of which have good shape. He can put together innings where he just looks unhittable and then he will just lose the zone (particularly out of the stretch). It is hard to know what his role should be or could be, and at this point no one should really have any confidence in him reaching any sort of ceiling. However, he just keeps getting back up and showing flashes and hitters just cannot square him up, and that makes you want to jump back in again.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: McGarry is the type of reclamation or upside project that will tempt certain organizations. Given that most teams have been tempted and seen what he has done, or not done, there are probably very few that want to risk being fooled again. That also means there isn’t anything to sell high on here.

Preseason Ranking: 30

29. Wen Hui Pan, RHP

Summary: We knew Pan would be out for the year recovering from Tommy John surgery, which makes his value sort of a static thing drifting through other players’ ups and downs. When healthy, he is probably a future reliever with a fastball in the upper 90s, a plus splitter, and developing slider. His control is better than his command, and his fastball quality is not good enough to get away with leaving it in hittable spots despite the velocity.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: It feels like players towards the end of their rehab or directly post injury have some amount of trade value, but in the middle just doesn’t. Unless a team loved Pan before and have been trying to acquire him, he probably isn’t topping anyone’s lists. There are also so many questions about his medicals and recovery that the risk is likely not worth spending time on given he isn’t a top prospect.

Preseason Ranking: 22

30. Romeli Espinosa, SS

Summary: Espinosa is the most exciting looking of the Phillies 2025 international signees. He is athletic and lanky, with a quick swing and projectable 6’4” frame. He does not consistently square the ball up, but there are hints at plus or better raw power down the line. He is not a great defender at shortstop currently, but it is too early to move him off the position. He turned 17 in June so he is young for the class too. As sort of expected for someone of his age and size, he has some swing and miss, and an aggressive approach that will need to be toned down. He is a long way away from being anything, but he has tantalizing tools at a young age.

Trade Deadline Thoughts: If the Phillies wanted to trade Espinosa instead of lower ceiling players closer to the majors they certainly could. They have largely avoided those sorts of moves. Espinosa’s value isn’t high enough he is going to make or break a trade and he is in a tier where there should be other options. I assume other teams will try to pry him away, I just don’t think that is how the Phillies do business.

Preseason Ranking: N/A – 2025 International Signing

The rest here isn’t really a list picking up at 31, it is a combination of players that I think could be moved, were notable prospects, or I just find interesting.

  • Bryan Rincon, SS – Rincon is a solid shortstop defender, but there just might not be enough offense. He is very passive at the plate, but opposing pitchers just fill the zone against him and that has led to some unsightly strikeout numbers and not a bunch of positive plays when he does put the ball in play.
  • Eiberson Castellano, RHP – Castellano returned from Twins camp as a Rule 5 pick to be stretched out as a starter. He struggled, and multiple injuries left the stuff diminished and then missed time. He projects as a reliever, but between the injuries and pending minor league free agency he isn’t going to have broad appeal.
  • Gabe Craig, RHP – He may have been picked to save some money, Craig should be a fast moving relief prospect who could pitch in the 7th or 8th inning if he can carry over what he did in college.
  • Angel Liranzo, LHP – Liranzo is a soft tossing, changeup forward starting pitcher who bounced back from missing almost all of 2024. He won’t turn 19 until August, but will need to build some velocity and better command to be grow into a major league caliber pitcher.
  • Casey Steward, RHP – For one innings of the Spring Breakout Steward looked like a breakout prospect. However, his velocity has been down and his command has been poor, allowing A-ball hitters to hit him around. Maybe in the future he ends up in a bullpen and we see that one spring game again.
  • Mavis Graves, LHP – Much of the Mavis Graves experience is waiting for more velocity to come. Instead the command took a step back and opposing hitters just laid off his bevy of offspeed stuff. He is starting to show some improvements, so maybe he can get back on path. He has destroyed lefties, so maybe there is a bullpen fall back.
  • TJayy Walton, OF – Walton had a poor 2024 season driven in large part by injuries. This season he had a hamate injury that cost him half the season already and will likely affect his production going forward. He is a corner outfielder who is going to need maximize his raw power and show better contact skills.
  • Francisco Loreto, 3B – This spring, the Phillies put the then 17 year old catcher Loreto at third base because they lacked infielders, and it ended up being his position all season. He committed 23 errors in 43 games at the hot corner, but did show improvement over the season. At the plate, he a respectable season given his age. His simple right handed swing can occasionally but a charge into the ball. He is not the most physical player, so he will need to improve his swing and miss because he is never going to have ideal power for his new position.
  • Felix Reyes, OF – Felix Reyes swings. He makes an impressive amount of contact for a player with his lack of discernment. It also helps he scorches the ball when he makes contact, and is capable of spraying hard line drives and home runs that range from majestic to lasers. Defensively he can play all 4 corners, but is more 1B/OF where he is fine. His approach probably keeps him from any major league ceiling, but not many players can hit the ball like he can.
  • Manolfi Jimenez, OF – Jimenez was the best non-Ferrebus hitter on the FCL Phillies. He is a free swinger who can put a charge into one when he makes contact. His increased power output this year makes him interesting.
  • Estibenzon Jimenez, RHP – Jimenez is more interesting than his surface stats. He is home run prone, but he fills up the zone with a fastball that will sit 92-95 with a good gyro slider. He will mix in a changeup as well as a starter. He has been a starter for most of 2025, but he has been 95-97 in a relief role. He won’t swing a trade in any way, but a team could get him as an extra base in a trade with an eye on seeing if he can take off in a bullpen role.
  • Anderson Araujo, C – Araujo was not a major money signing, but has been one of the best 17 year old hitters in the DSL this season. He has a knack for squaring up the baseball and is on a real hot streak in July that has him leading the league in home runs. Defensively he has looked fine behind the plate. He has made himself someone to keep an eye on.

17 thoughts on “Phillies 2025 Midseason Prospect Ranking and Trade Deadline Preview”

  1. I think Tait & Abel will be traded.
    Miller is the interesting wild card. Not because they want to trade him, but because they just have so few chips.

    I think Rojas gets tossed into a trade and Crawford somewhat replaces him in that role.

  2. Thanks for the time and effort you put into these lists.
    Did the overall 2025 draft class help infuse mid tier talent (or has the potential to) you wrote that is missing in the system?

    Also, your take away is that the system overall is top heavy and not great but evaluators placed 6 players in the top 100 prospects and seem to like the system in general. And the more I read from you the more I feel the system as a whole is progressing and is solid. Not top 10 farm systems solid but maybe in that 10-14 range. What gives?

  3. The theme here, which I agree, especially with our hitting prospects is that it has been a very bad year. Crawford can still put the ball in play but he’s a 9 hole hitter with no pop on a good team. Miller can’t hit and hasent really hit since he left Clearwater 2 levels ago/years ago. If he was 8 months older he would not be on 100 list anymore. He needs to finish strong and/or start strong in AA next year. Nori is a .270 hitter with less pop than Crawford, he’s already going to be 22 next year and never made it out of Low A yet. He’s not a major leaguer. Tait loses all status if he doesn’t stay at catcher. He’s gonna need to be able to draw walks or this is an obvious Alforo situation imo. Escobar looks pretty good so far….there are zero RP in the farm of note outside this college pitching draft two weeks ago. Painter has the upside but has been terrible and his fastball gets smoked. Abel is real but only has 2 pitches but a rotation arm to work with…Zero other SP in the farm outside AAAA guys….its been a terrible year for the farm…no needle movers…trade these hollow top 100 guys

    • Miller’s pitch recognition is a concern but at 21 in AA he isn’t a lost cause. Moving Tait off catche isn’t a death sentence to his path to the majors. And discounting his work at the same levels as Escobar while doing it 2 years younger is being unfair.

      Crawford I feel is an unknown until he gets to the majors. For every PrettyRicky that rights him off there’s an UglyBetty that claims he’s the real deal.

      As for relievers, Titan Hayes and Alex McFarlane are 2 names that come to my mind. I think McFarlane isnt long for starting and could benefit from a transition to the pend. Hayes excelled there last year but the MO of the organization seems to make them drive they are failed starters first and foremost.

      It’s not all doom and gloom. You’re allowed to smile.

      • I love to smile. I agree Crawford can be a slappy runner for a couple years and provide value. Tait looks good but very very far away with at best an average hit tool. Escobar looks good which he does. Not great that’s for sure. The RP you mentioned at a minimum are in every other major league farm system. Miller has never hit

        • I wasn’t trying to come off like an ass. Solid takes by you! I think if only 1 of Miller/Tait/Escobar reached their potential (and we pick that one to keep) we’d both sign for that right now and be dawned with the others.

          I really like Tait. I hope they keep 2 of Miller/Tait/Escobar because of the lack of positional players. Crawford is such an enigma.

  4. Thanks Matt,
    You definitely have Carson DeMartini & Griffin Burkholder ranked much higher than me. One player I would rank higher is Manolfi Jimenez. Phillies minor league system really needed a break and I think they got that in Matthew Fisher signing. Thanks again for your efforts.

  5. Saul Teran has had a tremendous 2025 and continues to do well as closer at JS. He’s got to be on this list somewhere.

    • He is 23 and is low to mid 90s with a really good slider having success in A-ball (though less so at Jersey Shore). That combination of ok stuff and far away makes him high risk and low ceiling. I think there is a chance that Teran can be a middle reliever down the line, but that is not a sure thing or a big outcome. Teran is a personal favorite of me and a few others, but he just does not have the future value to be on a list of this sort (he will be in discussion for the back of the Top 50 this winter).

  6. Matt
    What are your thoughts on Jose Pena Jr? Former 6th round pick who finally made it out of Clearwater last month. I know Steve Potter speaks highly of him and has discussed his channeling his emotions and now producing in game settings.

    • I don’t see enough command or bat missing stuff to be too much. His fastball has poor metrics and doesn’t miss bats. He is in the zone more this year, but I don’t see a pitch that is going to carry him as a reliever. He is more of an org arm to me.

        • Matt
          What are your thoughts on Jalvin Arias? He was struggling mightily for the first 6 weeks of DSL season. Seems to have an idea of strike zone just looking at walks/strike outs. He is a big kid but the power numbers just have not been there. Last few weeks he has started getting some base hits. Believe he is our biggest $ signing since Caba.

        • I thought in small sample sizes he looked fine last year, but he has mostly just looked terrible this year. I will give him a chance over the last month of the DSL season, but he is probably not a prospect.

  7. Matt,

    Where do you now see the state of the farm after the deadline and draft? Is it still top heavy or do we now have that middle portion some of the better farms have?

    Also, would you now rank Cabrera as the most likely depth starter after Painter of course.

Comments are closed.