Name: Bailey Falter
Born: April 24, 1997 (19)
Height/Weight: 6’4″ 175lbs
Hometown: Chino Hills, California
School: Chino Hills (CA)
Drafted: 5th Round 2015 Draft (#144 Overall)
Signed: June 18, 2015
Options Remaining: 3
Rule 5 Eligible: 2019
MiLB Free Agency 2021
Stats: MiLB | B-Ref | Fangraphs | Baseball America | Baseball Prospectus | MLBFarm
► Reports and Scouting:
The Phillies spoke glowingly of Bailey Falter after drafting him in the 5th round last year. He survived the GCL with a mid to hi 80s fastball due to solid control and a three pitch mix. This year Falter has gotten both stronger and more efficient in his delivery, and the payoff has been velocity that has ticked up to sitting high 80s to now sitting 89-92 touching 93 in his last start. Falter’s best secondary pitch is his changeup which flashes good fade and deception. His curveball is still a bit long and he lacks good command of it, but it should grow into a solid pitch. Falter mixes these three pitches with good command having walked only 1 batter in his last 5 starts (27 innings). Right now the profile looks like a back end starter, but Falter is only 19, and has the size to add strength. If the velocity ticks up even more he has the polish and feel for pitching to rocket up rankings.
Role: #3 Starter
Risk: Extreme – Falter is far from being a completed player, so projecting a mid rotation ceiling is counting on future growth in stuff across the board.
Summary: Bailey Falter was one of a couple of curious day 2 picks for the Phillies in the 2015 draft. While he lacks in now stuff, Falter is a bet on the Phillies’ developmental staff because he has all of the building blocks to be a very good starting pitcher. Falter sat in the hi-80s in pro-ball and has touched into the low-90s in short bursts, but has the frame to add enough velocity to sit in the low 90s. Additionally, Falter’s fastball features some natural run. There is some debate over his delivery, with some leaning more smooth and easy and others finding it a bit stiff, but the delivery is fairly low effort. In addition to the fastball and its future growth, Falter shows feel for solid off speed pitches. The more advanced of the two pitches is his changeup, which shows good deception and fade. His curveball lacks sharpness and bite, but was also hurt by the poor fastball in the GCL. Falter also shows solid control, but his command lags behind like most young players. The next step for Falter will be refining his pitches while putting on weight and gaining velocity. The optimistic view here is that the Phillies’ development staff can repeat its previous success with adding velocity to their young pitchers (Medina, Kilome, Pinto, to name a few). The counter is that physical development is far from a sure thing. Falter’s development is unlikely to be linear with a jump coming when he adds enough velocity to make hitters respect his fastball.
2016 Outlook: Unless he shows up to camp with a big jump in stuff, it is likely that Falter will go to Extended Spring Training and then on to Williamsport. Until the velocity comes for Falter, the numbers may not reflect his future promise.